Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Demang Lehman Stadium (Martapura)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Barito Putera		Arema

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.7	3.3	2.34	Watch
	2.86	3.5	2.5
	2.83	3.25	2.47	Watch
	2.66	3.32	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barito Putera
33.6%

Draw
27.7%

Arema
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Barito Putera - Arema Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barito Putera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Arema will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arema: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Tama S. (G) 29. Gwijangge I. 93. Lucao 5. Meneses Chechu 28. Lessy B. 6. Infantrie T. 7. Madinda L. 8. Morelatto 20. Kahfi B. 98. Eksel R. 31. Murilo	31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 72. Setiawan B. 5. Thales (C) 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 19. Syarif A. 30. Tuharea S. 32. Pablo Oliveira 27. Setiawan D. 8. Fikri A. 10. Wilian Marcilio 94. Dalberto
Substitutes
3. Aditya Y. 24. Daffa A. 11. Ezzejjari Y. 85. Firly M. 9. Gero A. 59. Hendrawan W. (G) 2. Kaffa A. B. 77. Moon C. 14. Nurzaidin N. 26. Ripora R. 22. Sasongko N. 18. Siringo N.	22. Agung D. (G) 3. Aji B. 13. Balinsa S. G. 67. Fajar S. 6. Guevara J. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 11. Lokolingoy C. 12. Marasabessy M. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 7. Tito Hamzah
Coaches
Darmawan R.	Cornelli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Wilian Marcilio (Pen),
39', Setiawan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Dalberto ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
46', Kahfi B. ↓, Ripora R. ↑,
46', Infantrie T. ↓, Firly M. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Tuharea S. ⚽, Setiawan D. (A),
67', Lessy B. 🟨,
70', Murilo ↓, Siringo N. ↑,
71', Madinda L. ↓, Gero A. ↑,
73', Choi Bo-Kyung ↓, Rifai M. ↑,
76', Tuharea S. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
77', Setiawan D. ↓, Tito Hamzah ↑,
79', Rifai M. 🟨,
81', Eksel R. ↓, Ezzejjari Y. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Firly M. ⚽, Ezzejjari Y. (A),
90+4', Lucas Frigeri 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Tito Hamzah ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 19:27 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Barito Putera won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
26.10.24	Java United - Barito Putera	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Barito Putera - PSS Sleman	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	Bali United Pusam - Barito Putera	3:2 ✺
23.09.24	Barito Putera - Borneo Samarinda	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Semen Padang - Barito Putera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLTW
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
26.10.24	Arema - Persija Jakarta	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Arema - Java United	3:1 ✺
26.09.24	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	PSS Sleman - Arema	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	PSM Makassar - Arema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
17.12.23	Barito Putera - Arema	1:0
05.08.23	Arema - Barito Putera	0:4
18.02.23	Arema - Barito Putera	1:0
04.09.22	Barito Putera - Arema	1:1
Indonesian President Cup
02.07.22	Arema - Barito Putera	1:0 penalties
Indonesian Super League
05.03.22	Barito Putera - Arema	1:2
23.11.21	Arema - Barito Putera	2:1

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