Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 26

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday


	Barnechea		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.85
	2.28	3.27	3.12
	2.25	3	3
	2.23	3.24	3.04
	2.2	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnechea
40.7%

Draw
28.6%

Deportes La Serena
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Barnechea - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barnechea will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salazar A. (G) 25. Cubillos G. 3. Rodriguez J. 6. Alucema G. 26. Ulloa D. 14. Moya G. 10. Smith I. 32. Rencoret C. (C) 7. Bravo C. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 28. Herrera I.	17. Lopez Z. (C) 32. Navarrete M. 15. Sanhueza H. 4. Ortiz D. 29. Rodriguez C. 6. Miranda F. 8. Carreno L. 19. Cortes M. 20. Mederos S. 9. Sanchez J. 10. Paredes R.
Substitutes
. Diaz A. 5. Incorvaia L. 33. Poza L. 17. Salaberry S. 31. Sepulveda N. 29. Toledo A. 23. Visaguirre M.	23. Arias D. 14. Espinoza F. 22. Ramirez M. 21. Reyes G. 28. Rodriguez M. 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 3. Santelices G.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Barnechea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barnechea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.09.23	San Luis de Quillota - Barnechea	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Barnechea - Universidad de Concepción	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Barnechea - Deportes Temuco	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Rangers de Talca - Barnechea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.09.23	Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.05.23	Deportes La Serena - Barnechea	4:2
24.08.19	Deportes La Serena - Barnechea	1:0
05.04.19	Barnechea - Deportes La Serena	0:2
17.10.18	Barnechea - Deportes La Serena	2:3
28.04.18	Deportes La Serena - Barnechea	0:1
05.08.17	Barnechea - Deportes La Serena	3:1
20.02.16	Barnechea - Deportes La Serena	1:0

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