Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 24

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)


	Deportes La Serena		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.65
	2.03	3.27	3.78
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.93	3.25	3.84
	2.01	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	3.65 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
46%

Draw
28.8%

Deportes Puerto Montt
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Puerto Montt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Puerto Montt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Lopez Z. (C) 29. Rodriguez C. 15. Sanhueza H. 3. Santelices G. 19. Cortes M. 28. Rodriguez M. 6. Miranda F. 20. Mederos S. 14. Espinoza F. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 9. Sanchez J.	1. Retamal D. (G) 13. Silva Alamos M. I. 21. Manzano F. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 17. Villegas Jara G. (C) 20. Urzua D. 19. Abarzua Sepulveda J. P. 36. Bandez J. D. 7. Castillo Marin J. 35. Barrientos F. 22. Melivilu Fuentes C.
Substitutes
23. Arias D. 8. Carreno L. 11. Espinoza E. 32. Navarrete M. 26. Reyes J. 27. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G)	5. Calisto F. 38. Castillo V. 37. Gorocito A. 8. Pucheta E. 10. Rosales R. 11. Soza Quezada C. 2. Torres M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Deportes La Serena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportes La Serena is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.08.23	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
31.07.23	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Rangers de Talca - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWW
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.08.23	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
23.07.23	Cobreloa - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:2
16.03.19	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:0
13.10.18	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0
03.03.18	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:2
09.09.17	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:1
29.04.17	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
27.08.16	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:1

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