Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)


	Deportes La Serena		San Marcos de Arica

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.53	3.47
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
45.3%

Draw
28.1%

San Marcos de Arica
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 23. Pinto M. 2. Zanini A. 3. Ferreyra N. 26. Dinamarca F. 18. Gallegos S. 17. Fuentes J. 6. Diaz S. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 9. Moreira E. 22. Ovando L.	1. Temperini N. (G) 3. Muller I. 5. Rivera J. 6. Ledesma F. 8. Barrios A. (C) 10. Velazco F. 11. Rosales F. 36. Campos R. 12. Bravo D. 7. Monroy B. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon L. 13. Carreno L. 12. Cerda F. (G) 24. Diaz F. 27. Dubo Vergara R. M. 16. Gutierrez C. 28. Zepeda M.	20. Abalos A. 21. Camarda M. 19. Contreras A. 29. Galleguillos A. 35. Plaza D. 26. Rencoret C. 17. Rojas K. 22. Tapia B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ledesma F. 🟨,
33', Pinto M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Bravo D. ⚽,
35', Rivera J. 🟨,
39', Monroy B. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Velazco F. ↓, Rencoret C. ↑,
46', Pinto M. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
46', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Zanini A. ⚽,
67', Rosales F. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
67', Campos R. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
76', Barrios A. ↓, Rojas K. ↑,
79', Ovando L. ↓, Dubo Vergara R. M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Moreira E. (Pen),
90', Gallegos S. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
90', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Alarcon L. ↑,
90+7', Moreira E. 🟨,
90+8', Plaza D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 1.

San Marcos de Arica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportes La Serena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Cup
02.02.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
27.01.25	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Deportes La Serena - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Temuco	4:2 ✺
13.10.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWT
- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Cup
01.02.25	San Marcos de Arica - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	San Marcos de Arica - Coquimbo Unido	2:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.10.24	San Marcos de Arica - Unión San Felipe	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.09.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	1:1
06.05.24	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	2:1
19.08.23	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	1:1
17.04.23	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	2:1
30.09.18	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	1:1
20.05.18	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	4:1
20.08.17	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	3:0

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