The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 44.8%
Draw 28.2%
Deportes La Serena 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
27.6%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
27%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes La Serena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+5%)
Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 17. Tapia D. 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 6. Tapia M. 8. Cornejo L. 21. Muga C. 32. Velazco F. 27. Sandoval M. 11. Gotti G. 22. Delgado A.
31. Tapia J. (G) 16. Gutierrez J. 21. Gutierrez B. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Salazar Y. 8. Escalante G. 19. Sandoval B. 6. Diaz S. 29. Pinto M. 14. Chamorro F. 9. Henriquez A. (C)
Substitutes
9. Conelli V. 37. Duma J. 29. Gatica J. 3. Gonzalez Y. 20. Matamoros F. 19. Navarro Y. 13. Quezada A. 30. Tapia D. (G) 35. Wastavino L.
37. Bitancurt A. N. 15. Contreras B. 26. Dinamarca F. 12. Hernandez M. (G) 4. Mac Allister F. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 20. Velasquez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tapia D. 🟨,
30', 🟨,
30', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapia M. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
55', Sandoval B. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
55', Diaz S. ↓, Mac Allister F. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Duma J. ⚽, Velazco F. (A),
66', Pinto M. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
74', Salazar Y. 🟨,
75', Delgado A. ↓, Gatica J. ↑,
75', Velazco F. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
79', Henriquez A. 🟨,
83', Alarcon L. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
83', Henriquez A. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
90', Sandoval M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
90+3', Escalante G. 🟨,
90+5', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cobreloa could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
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Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 
Muga C. 
Velazco F. 
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