Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 16

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.68	4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.01	4.55
	1.7	3.89	4.55
	1.67	3.75	4.33
	1.68	3.9	4.34
	1.68	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.68)	3.9 ↑ (3.77)	4.44 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
55.2%

Draw
23.8%

Rochdale
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Barnet - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 33. Hobson B. 9. Kabamba N. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 5. Rye J. 19. Shelton M.	31. Robson D. (G) 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 19. Burger J. 30. Buyabu J. 4. East R. 2. Gordon K. (C) 26. Hogan L. 21. McBride C. 9. Mitchell K.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 21. Clifford B. 4. Collinge D. 23. Grimwood J. 11. Kanu I. 10. Stead C.	11. Alfa O. 3. Armstrong F. 49. Burgess I. 40. Henderson I. 5. Henry A. 12. Kelly B. (G) 17. Senior C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kabamba N. ⚽,
20', Hogan L. 🟨,
38', Shelton M. ↓, Stead C. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Coker B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Burger J. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
46', Gordon K. 🟨,
60', Rye J. ↓, Collinge D. ↑,
62', Cropper J. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,
66', Barlow A. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽,
78', Collinge D. 🟨,
85', McBride C. ↓, Senior C. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Stead C. ↓, Grimwood J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Barnet is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rochdale is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
22.10.24	York City - Barnet	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Solihull Moors - Barnet	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Barnet - Chelmsford City	4:0 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Barnet - Boston United	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Barnet - Fylde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
22.10.24	Rochdale - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Rochdale - Southend United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:4 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Rochdale - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.03.24	Barnet - Rochdale	2:0
16.09.23	Rochdale - Barnet	4:2
English League Two
23.02.13	Barnet - Rochdale	0:0
01.09.12	Rochdale - Barnet	2:0

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