Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 21

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hartlepool United		Barnet

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.8	2.5
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.45	3.6	2.6
	2.47	3.86	2.59
	2.45	3.78	2.55	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2
	2.48	3.54	2.48
	2.45	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.11)	3.62 ↑ (3.57)	2.48 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
36.8%

Draw
25.7%

Barnet
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.6%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartlepool United - Barnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Young B. (G) 10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 16. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 7. Hunter J. 4. Parkes T. 14. Sheron N. 5. Waterfall L.	1. Hayes N. (G) 8. Browne R. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. 33. Hobson B. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
33. Bondswell M. 32. LuaLua K. 9. Madine G. 8. Mancini A. 18. Mathurin R. 17. Sass-Davies B. 40. Smith A. (G)	13. Bellagambi G. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 21. Clifford B. 32. Cropper J. 23. Grimwood J. 2. Hall-Johnson R. 9. Kabamba N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Oluwo A. 🟨,
38', Coker B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Grey J. ↓, LuaLua K. ↑,
62', Coker B. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
68', Hobson B. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
73', Hunter J. 🟨,
74', Charman L. ↓, Mancini A. ↑,
80', Collinge D. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
85', Parkes T. 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Barnet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barnet will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.11.24	Hartlepool United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United	3:4 ✺
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	York City - Hartlepool United	5:3 ✺
26.10.24	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTLW
- Barnet
English National League
27.11.24	Yeovil Town - Barnet	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Barnet - Woking	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Barnet	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Barnet - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Exeter City - Barnet	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.03.24	Hartlepool United - Barnet	1:2
05.08.23	Barnet - Hartlepool United	3:2
27.02.21	Hartlepool United - Barnet	1:0
24.11.20	Barnet - Hartlepool United	0:0
01.02.20	Barnet - Hartlepool United	2:1
26.10.19	Hartlepool United - Barnet	2:0
16.03.19	Barnet - Hartlepool United	0:0

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