Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.7	3.5	1.9
	3.84	3.55	1.94
	3.5	3.48	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.7	3.49	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.86)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
25.4%

Draw
26.7%

Southend United
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Hartlepool United - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 15. Hunter J. 5. Kouogun M. 6. McNally R. 2. Benn J. 14. Sheron N. (C) 18. Miley J. 3. John C. 10. Campbell A. 37. Sinclair T. 19. Reid A.	1. Mason O. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. (C) 16. Taylor H. 15. Gubbins J. 6. Goodliffe B. 33. Boyes H. 22. Appiah-Forson K. 17. Miley C. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 14. Hopper T. 9. Dallas A.
Substitutes
35. Caton C. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Folarin S. 27. Oliver V. 4. Parkes T. 24. Smith-Sway J. 38. Walker B.	10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 21. Cardwell H. 28. Coker O. 26. Golding J. 24. Kendall C. 23. Morton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽,
30', Gubbins J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Sinclair T. ⚽, Miley J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Scott-Morriss G. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
46', John C. ↓, Parkes T. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Reid A. ⚽, Campbell A. (A),
55', Taylor H. 🟨,
58', Campbell A. ↓, Smith-Sway J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Sinclair T. ⚽,
64', Gubbins J. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
64', Hopper T. ↓, Cardwell H. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Miley J. ⚽, Smith-Sway J. (A),
75', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
75', Dallas A. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Austin S. ⚽, Cardwell H. (A),
79', Miley J. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
79', Reid A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
79', McNally R. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
85', 4 - 3, Kendall C. ⚽, Cardwell H. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Southend is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1.

Recent performances by Hartlepool have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Southend is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Southend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Southend is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
18.04.26	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTTL
- Southend United
English National League
18.04.26	Halifax Town - Southend United	2:6 ✺
14.04.26	Aldershot Town - Southend United	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Southend United - Solihull Moors	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sutton United - Southend United	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Southend United - Braintree Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Southend United - Hartlepool United	1:1
14.12.24	Southend United - Hartlepool United	0:0
17.08.24	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:0
16.03.24	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:0
19.08.23	Southend United - Hartlepool United	2:3
English League Two
06.04.15	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:1
15.11.14	Southend United - Hartlepool United	1:0

Hartlepool United - Southend United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide