Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Barnet		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.49	4.34	6.43
	1.52	4.16	6.04	Watch
	1.53	4	5.8
	1.49	4.2	5.79
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.18 ↑ (4.14)	5.91 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
62%

Draw
22.2%

Sutton United
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Barnet - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	1. Sims J. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 9. Davies W. 4. French T. 22. Jackson R. 15. Muller H. 24. Nadesan A. 8. Simper L. 33. Topalloj B. 20. Wadham J. 18. Waller C.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 21. Clifford B. 32. Cropper J. 23. Grimwood J. 2. Hall-Johnson R. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I.	17. Boateng N. 11. De Silva D. 3. Okoli C. 5. Ransom H. 29. Roberts S. 12. Vaz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Nadesan A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Glover R. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Oluwo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Jackson R. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
57', Coker B. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
65', Brunt Z. ↓, Kanu I. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Davies W. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Nadesan A. ⚽,
74', Muller H. 🟨,
83', Wadham J. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
85', Tavares N. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
90+5', Nadesan A. ↓, Boateng N. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 1.

Barnet is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sutton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barnet to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
21.12.24	Barnet - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Hartlepool United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Yeovil Town - Barnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTW
- Sutton United
English National League
21.12.24	Sutton United - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.12.24	Sutton United - West Ham United U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
14.12.24	Altrincham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Halifax Town - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Sutton United - Ebbsfleet United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Sutton United - Barnet	2:1
English National League
29.05.21	Barnet - Sutton United	2:0
27.04.21	Sutton United - Barnet	1:0
06.08.19	Sutton United - Barnet	1:1
19.02.19	Sutton United - Barnet	0:0
09.02.19	Barnet - Sutton United	0:1

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