Match Info

National League - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.62	3.2	2.58
	2.73	3.37	2.59
	2.54	3.43	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.62	3.28	2.62
	2.57	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	2.56 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
35.4%

Draw
28.5%

Hartlepool United
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tamworth - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Tamworth (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tamworth (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tamworth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 39. Creaney D. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 42. Kurtaran T. 31. Maher R. 14. Mols S. 43. Reindorf M. 12. Rye J. 4. Tonks T.	23. Hayes N. (G) 10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 7. Holohan G. 15. Hunter J. 3. John C. 5. Kouogun M. 6. McNally R. 4. Parkes T. (C) 14. Sheron N. 37. Sinclair T.
Substitutes
24. Acquaye B. 6. Bates A. 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. . Forbes B. 26. Hollis H. 25. Howley R. 38. Ponticelli J.	24. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Folarin S. 9. Johnson D. 18. Miley J. 19. Reid A. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Sinclair T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Parkes T. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
56', Mols S. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Campbell A. ⚽, Holohan G. (A),
61', 1 - 1, Mols S. ⚽, Maher R. (A),
62', Rye J. 🟨,
70', Sinclair T. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
76', Maher R. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
88', Tonks T. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
88', Reindorf M. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
89', Mols S. ↓, Forbes B. ↑,
90+6', McNally R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent form of Tamworth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hartlepool has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hartlepool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tamworth has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Tamworth - Marine	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League Cup
27.01.26	Tamworth - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English National League
24.01.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Truro City - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTL
- Hartlepool United
English National League
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Woking - Hartlepool United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1
11.02.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	2:2
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:2 penalties
English National League
20.08.24	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	0:1

Tamworth - Hartlepool United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide