Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.67	3.49
	2.04	3.72	3.29	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.01	3.61	3.41	Watch
	2	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)	3.59 ↓ (3.85)	3.38 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barnsley
46.1%

Draw
26.1%

Leyton Orient
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

24.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Barnsley - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 30. Bland J. 6. de Gevigney M. 5. Shepherd J. 27. Watson T. 8. Phillips A. 22. Kelly P. 45. Yoganathan V. 23. Farrugia N. 19. Cleary R. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. (C)	33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 3. Adaramola T. 15. Bakinson T. 21. Moorhouse J. 4. Simpson J. 20. Perkins S. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
32. Earl J. 11. Jalo F. 10. McGoldrick D. 4. Roberts M. 3. Russell J. 12. Smith J. (G) 7. Vickers C.	44. Archibald T. 28. Clare S. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 2. James T. 9. Lloyd A. 1. Simkin T. (G) 25. Wellens C.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Cleary R. ⚽,
27', Cooper M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Ballard D. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 2, O'Neill O. ⚽, Moorhouse J. (A),
44', O'Neill O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Craig M. 🟨,
59', Craig M. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
59', Perkins S. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
62', Yoganathan V. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
66', Farrugia N. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
75', Ballard D. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
75', Moorhouse J. ↓, James T. ↑,
76', Bakinson T. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Russell J. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
85', 3 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
89', Adaramola T. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
90+2', Cleary R. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.

Barnsley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Barnsley: Connell L. (Yellow Cards) Jalo F. (Inactive) Ogbeta N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Barnsley: Earl J. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
09.12.25	Lincoln City - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Peterborough United - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Port Vale - Barnsley	5:0 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Stockport County - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Barnsley - Luton Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLTW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
09.12.25	Leyton Orient - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.12.25	Salford City - Leyton Orient	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.04.25	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	4:3
21.12.24	Barnsley - Leyton Orient	0:4
10.02.24	Barnsley - Leyton Orient	2:1
21.10.23	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:1
17.03.15	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	0:0
20.12.14	Barnsley - Leyton Orient	2:0

Upcoming Matches