Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Leyton Orient		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.5
	2.78	3.2	2.52
	2.83	3.34	2.59
	2.7	3.44	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.69	3.24	2.55	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)	3.25 (3.25)	2.53 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
34.3%

Draw
28.7%

Luton Town
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.8%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	6.7%	33.3%

Leyton Orient - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Luton will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 3 - 60%). Luton (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 3. Adaramola T. 15. Bakinson T. 22. Abdulai A. 17. Koroma J. 25. Wellens C. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.	24. Keeley J. (G) 15. Mengi T. 17. Lonwijk N. 3. Naismith K. (C) 20. Kodua G. 8. Walsh L. 23. Saville G. 33. Bramall C. 19. Brown J. 22. Fanne L. 9. Yates J.
Substitutes
44. Archibald T. 28. Clare S. 9. Lloyd A. 21. Moorhouse J. 29. Obiero Z. 1. Simkin T. (G) 4. Simpson J.	5. Andersen M. 18. Clark J. 28. Makosso C. 14. Morris S. 37. Nelson Z. . Nordas L. 1. Shea J. (G)
Coaches
Wellens R.	Wilshere J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Koroma J. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
41', Walsh L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Archibald T. ⚽, Ballard D. (A),
61', Fanne L. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
61', Yates J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
62', Happe D. 🟨,
70', Craig M. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
70', Wellens C. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
70', Saville G. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
77', O'Neill O. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
77', Naismith K. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
86', Andersen M. 🟨,
89', Abdulai A. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
89', Brown J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Clark J. (Inactive) Jones I. (Injury) Wells N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: El Mizouni I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Luton Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English FA Cup
05.12.25	Salford City - Leyton Orient	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Leyton Orient - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTW
- Luton Town
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Luton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Luton Town - Exeter City	4:0 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Luton Town - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Barnsley - Luton Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.04.17	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	2:2
15.10.16	Leyton Orient - Luton Town	1:2
05.03.16	Leyton Orient - Luton Town	0:1
20.10.15	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	1:1
English EFL Trophy
01.09.15	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	2:1

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