Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

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	Salford City		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.55
	2.38	3.7	2.58
	2.45	3.82	2.63
	2.55	3.82	2.4	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.6
	2.42	3.63	2.63	Watch
	2.37	3.75	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)	3.7 ↑ (3.42)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
38.5%

Draw
25.1%

Leyton Orient
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Salford City - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leyton Orient (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. 8. Grant J. 19. Mnoga H. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 14. Harris K. 23. Udoh D. 21. Cesay K.	33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 4. Simpson J. 28. Clare S. 22. Abdulai A. 7. O'Neill O. 25. Wellens C. 10. Connolly A. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 34. Butt R. 12. Edwards T. 37. Heys M. 31. Howard M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 27. Siri N. 9. Stockton C.	3. Adaramola T. 44. Archibald T. 15. Bakinson T. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 17. Koroma J. 9. Lloyd A. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J. 1. Simkin T. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Cahill K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Clare S. 🟨,
59', Craig M. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
59', O'Neill O. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Cesay K. ⚽,
67', Abdulai A. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
79', Austerfield J. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
79', Udoh D. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
80', Beckles O. ↓, Adaramola T. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Borini F. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, N'Mai K. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
90+3', Cesay K. 🟨,
90+3', Bakinson T. 🟨,
90+3', Cesay K. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
90+5', Mnoga H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Leyton Orient - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Salford City - Rotherham United	2:7 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Salford City - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Bromley - Salford City	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Salford City - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW
- Leyton Orient
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Leyton Orient - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Leyton Orient	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.04.23	Salford City - Leyton Orient	0:2
29.10.22	Leyton Orient - Salford City	1:0
12.02.22	Leyton Orient - Salford City	0:2
07.08.21	Salford City - Leyton Orient	1:1
08.05.21	Salford City - Leyton Orient	3:0
02.01.21	Leyton Orient - Salford City	1:0
31.08.19	Salford City - Leyton Orient	1:1

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