Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barnsley		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.6	2.3
	2.82	3.45	2.32
	2.95	3.68	2.34
	2.74	3.55	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.8	3.45	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	2.32 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
33.1%

Draw
26.7%

Wycombe Wanderers
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wycombe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 27. Watson T. 6. de Gevigney M. 15. O'Connell E. 14. Ogbeta N. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 18. Banks S. 8. Phillips A. 19. Cleary R. 10. McGoldrick D.	50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 17. Casey D. 6. Allen T. 3. Harvie D. 5. Morley A. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 7. Quitirna A. 28. Harris L. 44. Onyedinma F. 11. Lowe N.
Substitutes
9. Bradshaw T. 51. Flavell K. (G) 17. Gent G. 20. Lennon C. 7. O'Keeffe C. 5. Shepherd J. 45. Yoganathan V.	20. Henderson E. 10. Leahy L. 21. Mullins J. 26. Taylor C. 1. van Sas M. (G) 77. Vidigal A. 12. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Morley A. ⚽, Harris L. (A),
60', Ogbeta N. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
60', Quitirna A. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
61', O'Connell E. 🟨,
63', Banks S. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
66', Lowe N. ↓, Mullins J. ↑,
72', Casey D. 🟨,
78', Phillips A. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
82', Norris W. 🟨,
85', Onyedinma F. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
85', Morley A. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
86', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
87', Mullins J. 🟨,
90+3', Connell L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.

Barnsley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wycombe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 1.62% Barnsley: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
28.02.26	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Barnsley - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
28.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.10.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:2
28.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:1
01.10.24	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
02.03.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:4
28.11.23	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
18.03.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	0:1
20.08.22	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3

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