Match Info

League One - Round 33

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.05	3.25	2.28	Watch
	3.23	3.29	2.35
	3.22	3.22	2.26	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.31	Watch
	3.14	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.08)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
30%

Draw
29%

Wycombe Wanderers
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Wycombe will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 50%). Wycombe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Exeter (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wycombe (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 4. Turns E. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 3. Rydel R. 10. Aitchison J. 9. Wareham J. 27. Magennis J.	50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 17. Casey D. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 3. Harvie D. 20. Henderson E. 5. Morley A. 7. Quitirna A. 28. Harris L. 44. Onyedinma F. 12. Woodrow C.
Substitutes
23. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Cox S. 33. Dean T. 17. Higgins A. 34. Oakes L. 28. Tuterov T. 15. Yfeko J.	6. Allen T. 9. Fink B. 23. Huggins N. 10. Leahy L. 21. Mullins J. 1. van Sas M. (G) 77. Vidigal A.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Henderson E. (A),
45', Henderson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Henderson E. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
60', Rydel R. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
64', Quitirna A. ↓, Vidigal A. ↑,
69', Harris L. 🟨,
71', Magennis J. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
81', Woodrow C. ↓, Allen T. ↑,
85', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Higgins A. (A),
90+2', Harris L. ↓, Fink B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive) McMillan J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wycombe: Boyd-Munce C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.77%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.28%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
14.02.26	Exeter City - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Exeter City - Rotherham United	0:4 ✺
27.01.26	Reading - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Port Vale - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLTW
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
14.02.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mansfield Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.12.25	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0
English League One
19.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City	0:1
01.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City	2:1
03.12.24	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
26.12.23	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
05.08.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City	0:3
04.03.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City	1:1

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