The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 50.8%
Draw 23.5%
Peterborough United 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
26%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
26%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
9.4%
15.6%
Barnsley - Peterborough United Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Peterborough will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 60% – 90%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 7. O'Keeffe C. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 17. Gent G. 8. Phillips A. 22. Kelly P. 48. Connell L. (C) 19. Cleary R. 18. Banks S. 10. McGoldrick D.
1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 30. Kioso P. 26. Okagbue D. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 11. Frith D. 24. Morgan J. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
30. Bland J. 9. Bradshaw T. 6. de Gevigney M. 51. Flavell K. (G) 20. Lennon C. 4. Roberts M. 27. Watson T.
39. Aderoju O. 18. Hayes C. 32. Mendonca L. 15. Nevett G. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 31. Smith B. (G) 42. Sykut P.
Coaches
Hourihane C.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Connell L. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
59', Phillips A. 🟨,
64', Gent G. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
74', Johnston C. 🟨,
77', Khela B. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
78', McGoldrick D. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
83', Connell L. 🟨,
86', Frith D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
87', Phillips A. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
87', Banks S. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barnsley will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Peterborough: 0.65% Barnsley: 0.61%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Barnsley
8
2
2
4
8:15
-7
8
20
Peterborough
9
2
2
5
7:14
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Barnsley - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Goodman O. (G) 
O'Keeffe C. 
Shepherd J. 
Kelly P. 
Banks S. 
Kioso P. 
Bland J. 
de Gevigney M. 
Mendonca L. 
Sykut P. 
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