Match Info

Catarinense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Zapping


	Barra Santa Catarina		Camboriú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.79	3.1	3.7
	1.75	3.32	5.07	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.75	3.29	4.88
	1.8	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	4.56 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
51.7%

Draw
28.4%

Camboriú
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Camboriú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 6. Da Rocha 10. Elvinho 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 7. Gabriel Silva 11. Geovany Soares 3. Jean Pierre (C) 8. Pericles 9. Renan Bernabe 5. Tete	1. Vava (G) 18. Alysson Dutra (C) 5. Choco 23. Danilo Mendes 2. Gabriel Bessan 14. Hygor 10. Mansur 11. Nilton 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva 7. Wermeson
Substitutes
16. Barba 17. Cleo Silva 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 24. Gabriel Costa 23. Lucas Vargas 20. Marcelinho 21. Nicolas 15. Pablo 19. Saymon 14. Vava 13. Vitao 18. Warley	3. Daniel Blanco 6. Gabriel Sedorko 13. Junior Santos 9. Kaka 17. Kennedy 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 20. Macias J. 15. Matheus Belem 19. Mikael Mendes 8. Nadson 21. Ricardinho 27. Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Alysson Dutra 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Choco ↓, Kaka ↑,
58', Reginaldo ↓, Matheus Belem ↑,
58', Gabriel Bessan ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
68', Gabriel Silva ↓, Saymon ↑,
72', Mansur ↓, Nadson ↑,
75', Renan Bernabe ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
75', Pericles ↓, Barba ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Lucas Vargas ⚽,
80', Silva 🟨,
81', Hygor ↓, Mikael Mendes ↑,
84', Geovany Soares ↓, Vava ↑,
84', Da Rocha ↓, Cleo Silva ↑,
86', Elvinho 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Elvinho ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Barra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Camboriú's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Barra is the team to beat.

We predict that Barra will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Barra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Santa Catarina - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTWW
- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Figueirense - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1
14.01.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0
05.03.23	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	2:2
09.02.22	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	0:1

Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide