Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Guarani		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.6	3.5	6.1
	1.63	3.41	6.15	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5.5
	1.58	3.3	6.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.32 ↓ (3.76)	5.85 ↓ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
57%

Draw
27.5%

Itabaiana
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarani's form might have worsened.

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Guarani - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 6. Emerson Barbosa 21. Guilherme Cachoeira 11. Herbert 10. Joao Paulo 4. Jonathan Costa 9. Lucca 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Raphael 8. Willian Farias 2. Ynaia	1. Jefferson (G) 3. Betao (C) 9. Everton Kanela 7. Fabricio Moura 14. Gustavo Cintra 5. Gustavo Crecci 2. Isaque 8. Karl 4. Ligger 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tito
Substitutes
15. Carlos Eduardo 17. Dentinho 20. Diego Torres 7. Guilherme Parede 18. Isaque 23. Kaua Jesus 19. Kewen 12. Mateus Claus (G) 13. Mauricio Antonio 22. Mirandinha 16. Renan Castro 14. Yan Henrique	21. Caio Felipe 18. Elimar 12. Geaze (G) 13. Gustavo Fagundes 17. Leilson 19. Luan Silva 23. Lucas Bessa 22. Pedro Igor 20. Renatinho 15. Ricardo Cerqueira 16. Tarcisio
Coaches
Sizenando E.	Gilson Kleina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Joao Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ynaia ↓, Isaque ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Herbert ⚽,
49', 1 - 1, Karl ⚽,
66', Tito ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
68', Gustavo Cintra 🟨,
71', Raphael 🟨,
72', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
72', Lucca ↓, Dentinho ↑,
76', Karl ↓, Caio Felipe ↑,
76', Isaque ↓, Elimar ↑,
78', Fabricio Moura 🟨,
79', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,
86', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Ricardo Cerqueira ↑,
86', Everton Kanela ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
87', Joao Paulo ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
90+1', Herbert ↓, Kewen ↑,

Preview

Itabaiana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Itabaiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Itabaiana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guarani is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Guarani - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Maranhão - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Castanhal - Guarani	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Palmeiras - Guarani	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Itabaiana - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
06.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
08.03.26	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Guarani - Itabaiana	2:1

Guarani - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide