Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Barra Santa Catarina		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.20	5.00
	1.41	3.6	7.2	Watch
	1.45	3.92	7.43
	1.62	3.38	6.45	Watch
	1.33	4.3	9.1
	1.4	4.1	8.94	Watch
	1.41	3.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.9)	3.74 ↑ (3.05)	7.36 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
62.8%

Draw
24.6%

Volta Redonda
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volta Redonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volta Redonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Barra Santa Catarina - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: Barra Santa Catarina will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabian Volpi (G) 6. Adriel 2. Augusto Potiguar 7. Cleo Silva 3. Everton Alemao 11. Gabriel Silva 10. Marquinho 5. Natan Costa 8. Pedro Pecanha 9. Saymon 4. Vava Franca (C)	45. Heitor Silva (G) 13. Alan 4. Bruno 5. Bruno Barra (C) 29. Caetano 8. Caio Henrique 14. Fabricio 21. Henrique Silva 6. Joao Victor 20. Juninho Monteiro 7. Marquinhos
Substitutes
19. Betinho 14. Da Rocha 13. Jean Pierre 15. Joao Vinicius 23. Lucas Vargas 20. Marcelinho 17. Matheus Barbosa 21. Renan Bernabe 16. Tete 12. Tiago (G) 24. Vinicius Popo 18. Warley Jr	1. Avelino (G) 11. Carvalho B. 23. Daniel 15. Joao Valenca 26. Leandro 22. Levi 3. Lucas Adell 25. Teixeira M. 17. Wagninho 2. Wellington Silva 9. Zuniga Y.
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Colucci Neto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Vava Franca 🟨,
27', Henry A. 🟨,
41', Natan Costa 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Adriel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Joao Victor ↓, Zuniga Y. ↑,
58', Marquinhos ↓, Carvalho B. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Marquinho ⚽,
60', Cleo Silva ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
60', Saymon ↓, Betinho ↑,
64', Renan Bernabe 🟨,
68', Pedro Pecanha 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', Marquinho ↓, Warley Jr ↑,
69', Gabriel Silva ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
73', Henry A. ↓, Joao Valenca ↑,
74', Bruno ↓, Levi ↑,
78', Fabricio ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
82', Augusto Potiguar ↓, Da Rocha ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Volta Redonda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barra is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.26	Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Ituano - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.26	Volta Redonda - Floresta	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Volta Redonda - Ituano	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Internacional de Limeira - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Volta Redonda - Anápolis	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
20.07.26	Volta Redonda - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties

Barra Santa Catarina - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide