Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)


	Lanús		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3	4.2
	2.05	3.05	4.2
	2.05	3.09	4.47
	2	3.2	4.1	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.69)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	4.19 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
46.8%

Draw
30.7%

Barracas Central
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanús's form might have worsened.

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanús, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Lanús - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Morales L. (G) 24. Caceres J. 2. Lema C. 6. Braghieri D. (C) 14. Sanchez J. 15. Loaiza R. 40. Fernandez J. 8. Boggio L. 10. de La Vega P. 18. Diaz L. 20. Troyansky F.	1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Capraro N. 16. Alvarez F. 14. Diaz J. 6. Insua R. 79. Puig M. 5. Herrera R. 10. Tapia I. 21. Calderara B. 29. Sepulveda B.
Substitutes
42. Acosta L. (G) 29. Aguilar B. 33. Aguilar F. 35. Aguirre B. 43. Aquino D. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 39. Moreira L. 11. Orozco F. 34. Perez F. 16. Rodriguez A. 28. Segovia A. 22. Soler Barreto J. C.	19. Arce C. 28. Benitez M. 11. Cantero A. 7. Colitto L. 9. Dominguez Ansorena A. 17. Frias F. 33. Mater F. 26. Rodriguez M. 34. Serrizuela J. P. 3. Tolosa F. 22. Villar G. (G)
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Rondina S.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lanús is a favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Esquivel M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Lopez L. (Injury) Prado A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.23	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Lanús - Banfield	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	2:2 ✺
04.07.23	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
30.06.23	Platense - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLW
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.07.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.23	Tigre - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
10.07.23	Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
06.07.23	Belgrano - Barracas Central	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.09.22	Barracas Central - Lanús	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.22	Lanús - Barracas Central	2:0

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