Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)


	Barracas Central		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	5.5	2.95	1.79	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.05
	4.85	3.2	1.85
	5.61	2.67	2.06
	4.47	3.32	1.88	Watch
	5.9	3.06	1.84	Watch
	3.55	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (2.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	1.93 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
19.8%

Draw
30.9%

Boca Juniors
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	9.5%	81%

Barracas Central - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 17 - 81%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Boca Juniors (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 23 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Ledesma M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 15. Rak Y. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 5. Miloc D. 23. Tapia I. (C) 20. Candia J. 7. Bruera F. 11. Ruiz J.	25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 5. Paredes L. (C) 43. Delgado M. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 8. Carlos Palacios 9. Gimenez M. 16. Miguel Merentiel
Substitutes
10. Barrios N. 2. Capraro N. 24. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Mater F. 30. Mino M. (G) 9. Morales G. 19. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S. 21. Tapia I.	17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 21. Herrera A. 11. Janson L. 19. Martegani A. 26. Pellegrino M. 7. Zeballos E. 22. Zenon K.
Coaches
Insua R.	Ubeda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Barrios R. 🟨,
7', Paredes L. 🟨,
7', Tapia I. 🟨,
14', Tapia I. 🟨,
19', Bruera F. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Insua R. ⚽, Candia J. (A),
45', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
45', Miloc D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
48', Ruiz J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Gimenez M. ⚽, Barinaga J. (A),
57', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
58', Barinaga J. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
59', Candia J. 🟨,
65', Miloc D. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
66', Candia J. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
71', Rak Y. ↓, Mater F. ↑,
72', Barrios R. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
76', Insua R. 🟨,
77', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
90+4', Paredes L. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Candia J. (Injury) Insua R. (Knee Injury) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury) Rosane S. (Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios (Muscle Injury) Delgado M. (International duty) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.25	Tigre - Barracas Central	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Godoy Cruz - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTTLT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	1:0
04.08.24	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1
Copa Argentina
20.07.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	0:3
19.06.22	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	2:0

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