Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Barracas Central		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.25	2.65	3.5
	2.23	2.85	3.3
	2.31	2.94	3.68
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.22	3.06	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.31)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)	3.39 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
41.1%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Morón
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

33.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barracas Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Morón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barracas Central - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Barracas Central will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.21	Güemes - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
03.04.21	Barracas Central - Club Almagro	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	San Telmo - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTTT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.21	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	2:2 ✺
04.04.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
29.03.21	Deportivo Morón - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	All Boys - Deportivo Morón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.10.19	Deportivo Morón - Barracas Central	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
23.05.17	Deportivo Morón - Barracas Central	1:1
06.11.16	Barracas Central - Deportivo Morón	1:1
12.06.16	Barracas Central - Deportivo Morón	2:1
18.11.15	Barracas Central - Deportivo Morón	0:2
01.08.15	Barracas Central - Deportivo Morón	0:2
21.03.15	Deportivo Morón - Barracas Central	3:2

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