Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Armenia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportes Quindío		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.62
	2.76	3.34	2.40	Watch
	2.53	3.16	2.66	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.34)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Quindío
35.6%

Draw
28.8%

Real Cartagena
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Quindío (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pabon S. (G) 19. Alvarez A. 18. Arango W. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 11. Chala J. 7. Lloreda J. 3. Palomeque D. 8. Preciado Garcia J. A. 5. Roa S. 14. Rovira U. 27. Torres Y.	33. Armesto K. (G) 24. Duque J. 9. Gomez S. 3. Mera D. 10. Montero F. 19. Moralez A. 27. Mosquera D. 2. Pedrosa G. 11. Pereira I. 93. Rodriguez A. 5. Solarte Espana J. A.
Substitutes
29. Angulo Satizabal R. 20. Caicedo B. 24. Ibarguen J. 1. Jimenez M. (G) 22. Landazuri H. 23. Mosquera F. 17. Mosquera H. 4. Ortiz P. 10. Vallejo J.	8. Acosta F. 7. De La Rosa W. 14. Martinez E. 1. Montes A. (G) 91. Ortega M. 88. Ramirez C. 21. Rodriguez J. 31. Tamayo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Alvarez A. 🟨,
35', Palomeque D. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Preciado Garcia J. A. ↓, Angulo Satizabal R. ↑,
59', Chala J. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
66', Rovira U. 🟨,
71', Pereira I. ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
71', Gomez S. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
78', Alvarez A. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
80', Mosquera D. ↓, Acosta F. ↑,
87', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
87', Montero F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
87', Arango W. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
87', Lloreda J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
90+3', Moralez A. 🟨,
90+6', Solarte Espana J. A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 2.

Deportes Quindío is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Real Cartagena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportes Quindío may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Quindío - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
19.10.25	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	2:3 ✺
16.10.25	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	6:1 ✺
19.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Quindío	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
19.10.25	Real Cartagena - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	4:1
13.11.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	2:1
09.11.24	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	3:0
02.09.24	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	2:0
19.03.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	1:0
23.09.23	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	2:0
03.06.23	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	3:2

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