The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Quindío 39.9%
Draw 29.6%
Real Cartagena 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
28%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
25.7%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Quindío's performance.
Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Silva J. (G) 21. Alvarez A. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 3. Castano M. 18. Cordoba J. 24. Ibarguen J. 7. Lloreda J. 22. Payares M. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 19. Sandoval J. 16. Torres Y.
1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 99. Castillo D. 25. De Las Salas C. 26. Graciano C. 80. Lopez E. 10. Montero F. 16. Pineda J. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
4. Delgado J. 11. Lopez J. 15. Mosquera F. 6. Orozco S. 28. Ortiz J. S. 12. Pabon S. (G) 5. Roa S. 23. Tello A. 8. Valencia F.
33. Balanta M. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 14. Pino D. 13. Rios J. 20. Taffur L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Ibarguen J. ⚽,
61', Castillo D. ↓, Taffur L. ↑,
61', Rodriguez J. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
65', 🟨,
66', De Las Salas C. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 🟨,
79', Lopez E. ↓, Pino D. ↑,
79', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 1.
Deportes Quindío has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Real Cartagena has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Quindío has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Quindío against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:3 goals (averaging 2.2:0.5 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Quindio
15
6
5
4
14:13
1
23
5
Cartagena
15
5
6
4
26:18
8
21
Last Results with these Odds
Real Cartagena - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.
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Silva J. (G) 
Alvarez A. 
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