Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	DAZN National League


	Barrow		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	3.80
	1.78	3.50	3.60
	1.84	3.60	3.75
	1.84	3.94	4.07
	1.89	3.76	3.65	Watch
	1.80	3.90	3.95
	1.83	3.77	3.87
	1.86	3.70	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.79 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
50.7%

Draw
24.9%

Aldershot Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Barrow - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Winterbottom B. (G) 25. Kalambayi P. 2. Oakley M. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 19. Allen A. 6. Digie K. 26. Harper R. 10. Ward K. 27. Marriott I. (C) 22. Amos D. 32. Lane M.	40. Macaulay J. (G) 2. Efete M. 12. Stickland M. (C) 17. Dyce T. 18. Adom-Malaki N. 5. Oshilaja K. 6. Odusanya D. 21. Peart B. 23. Lawless C. 10. Tuma B. 9. Dinanga M.
Substitutes
33. Benjamin X. 5. Edwards C. 23. Mooney D. 9. Reid A. 8. Smith S. 14. Thompson S. 11. Walker G.	7. Abrahams T. 4. Borgnis J. 16. Matton J. 24. Oladunjoye E. 11. Sandah H. 19. Tenconi A. 20. Wyllie M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Allen A. 🟨,
32', Adom-Malaki N. 🟨,
45+3', Efete M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Tuma B. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Harper R. ⚽, Amos D. (A),
66', Amos D. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
66', Ward K. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
67', Allen A. ↓, Mooney D. ↑,
67', Dyce T. ↓, Sandah H. ↑,
67', Efete M. ↓, Oladunjoye E. ↑,
68', Dinanga M. ↓, Tenconi A. ↑,
68', Peart B. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
76', Lane M. ↓, Thompson S. ↑,
79', Tuma B. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
82', Harper R. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
90+1', Stickland M. 🟨,
90+5', Smith S. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 7th in the Promotion ~ National League PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Barrow could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Barrow is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Barrow has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:9 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barrow against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	6	21
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English National League North
15.09.26	Solihull Moors - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Worthing - Barrow	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Barrow - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Barrow - Yeovil Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWTL
- Aldershot Town
English National League North
15.09.26	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Aldershot Town - West Ham United U21	0:3 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.12.19	Barrow - Aldershot Town	1:0
07.09.19	Aldershot Town - Barrow	1:2
09.03.19	Barrow - Aldershot Town	2:1
24.11.18	Aldershot Town - Barrow	0:2
21.04.18	Aldershot Town - Barrow	1:1
28.10.17	Barrow - Aldershot Town	3:1
11.02.17	Aldershot Town - Barrow	2:2

Barrow - Aldershot Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide