The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 23.9%
Draw 24%
Notts County 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
25.6%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
24.8%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
Morecambe - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 22. Millen R. 12. Harrack K. 28. Jones C. 3. Lewis A. 19. Dackers M. 18. Tollitt B. 10. Angol L.
1. Bass A. (G) 24. Cundy R. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 18. Palmer M. (C) 33. Abbott G. 25. Tsaroulla N. 7. Crowley D. 8. Austin S. 11. Grant C. 17. McGoldrick D.
Substitutes
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 9. Hope H. 17. Lewis P. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 24. Songo'o Y. 5. Taylor M.
14. Brown J. 23. Chicksen A. 6. Hinchy J. 28. Macari L. 19. Martin J. S. 20. Robertson S. 21. Slocombe S. (G)
Coaches
Adams D.
Maynard S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
24', Tollitt B. 🟨,
34', Angol L. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Cundy R. ↓, Macari L. ↑,
60', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Martin J. S. ↑,
61', Millen R. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
69', Macari L. 🟨,
73', Tollitt B. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
77', Palmer M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
77', Grant C. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
78', Harrack K. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Platt M. ⚽, Austin S. (A),
90+1', Harrack K. 🟨,
90+5', Lewis A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
Watch
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Moore S. (G) 
Tutonda D. 
Millen R. 
Harrack K. 
Jones C. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Grant C. 
Hope H. 
Songo'o Y. 
Brown J. 
Chicksen A. 
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