Match Info

League Two - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Salford City		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	9
	1.29	5.4	9.3
	1.32	5.09	8.73	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.32	4.85	9.1	Watch
	1.32	5.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.08 ↑ (4.47)	8.77 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
71.1%

Draw
18.3%

Harrogate Town
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Salford City - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Salford (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 3 - 75%). Harrogate (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 15. Cooper B. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 8. Grant J. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 21. Cesay K. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 23. Udoh D. 16. Borini F.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 5. Bradbury T. 15. O'Connor A. 23. Jameson K. 2. Asare Z. 4. Evans J. (C) 27. Fox B. 3. Slater J. 22. Smith R. 14. McAleny C. 25. Cursons T.
Substitutes
3. Berkoe K. 18. Butcher M. 33. Howard M. (G) 30. Malcolm K. 27. Siri N. 9. Stockton C. 6. Turton O.	29. Barnes L. 6. Burrell W. 28. Etherington M. 44. Falkingham J. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', O'Connor A. 🟨,
45+1', Bradbury T. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Longelo-Mbule R. 🟨,
62', Borini F. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
62', Cooper B. ↓, Turton O. ↑,
63', Austerfield J. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Udoh D. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Fox B. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
86', Jameson K. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
90+2', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.

Salford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harrogate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Salford is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Mnoga H. (International duty) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Salford: Woodburn B. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Salford won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
20.12.25	Barnet - Salford City	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Salford City - Colchester United	4:3 ✺
09.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Salford City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.12.25	Salford City - Leyton Orient	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Salford City - Rotherham United	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
20.12.25	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	4:2 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Barnet - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.01.25	Harrogate Town - Salford City	0:2
03.12.24	Salford City - Harrogate Town	2:0
27.04.24	Salford City - Harrogate Town	2:2
23.09.23	Harrogate Town - Salford City	3:2
14.02.23	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:1
13.09.22	Harrogate Town - Salford City	0:1
09.04.22	Salford City - Harrogate Town	2:0

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