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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 54.7%
Draw 26.3%
Shrewsbury Town 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
26.9%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
26.5%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 3. Mabete F. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 19. Snowdon J. 18. Kilkenny G. 44. Oldaker D. 7. Nichols T. 26. Munroe F. 9. Glatzel P. 23. Drinan A.
1. Harrison E. (G) 26. Stubbs S. 22. Nsiala A. 4. Anderson T. 2. Hoole L. 10. Sang T. 6. Clucas S. 3. Benning M. 14. Perry T. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
31. Bodin B. 14. Butterworth D. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 34. Kirkman B. 33. McGregor J. 11. Tabor J. 12. Ward L. (G)
8. Biggins H. 5. Boyle W. 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 13. Savin T. (G) 11. Scully A. 24. Stewart C.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Appleton M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
28', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
35', Benning M. 🟨,
45+3', Sang T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Hoole L. ↓, Boyle W. ↑,
59', Nsiala A. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
59', Benning M. ↓, England I. ↑,
69', Drinan A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
69', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
82', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
82', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
82', Mabete F. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
86', Perry T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Stewart C. ⚽, Boyle W. (A),
90+3', 2 - 1, Bodin B. ⚽, Kilkenny G. (A),
90+6', Ripley C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shrewsbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke O.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Ripley C. (G) 
Mabete F. 
Kilkenny G. 
Glatzel P. 
Hoole L. 
Boyle W. 
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