Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday


	Barwell		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.25
	2.55	3.6	2.15
	2.72	3.69	2.17
	2.78	3.85	2.24	Watch
	2.96	3.9	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	2.24 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
34.2%

Draw
24.6%

Buxton
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

24.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Barwell - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barwell won 1.

Recent matches Barwell is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Buxton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barwell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barwell have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Barwell won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Buxton - Barwell	2:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Stamford - Barwell	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLTWT
- Buxton FC
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Buxton - Barwell	2:2 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Buxton - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	South Shields - Buxton	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Southport - Buxton	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Buxton - Marine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Buxton - Barwell	2:2
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.18	Barwell - Buxton	2:1
02.12.17	Buxton - Barwell	1:1
04.03.17	Barwell - Buxton	0:1
10.09.16	Buxton - Barwell	0:0
19.01.16	Barwell - Buxton	1:0
15.12.15	Buxton - Barwell	N/A

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