Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Barwell		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.75	1.78
	3.39	4.12	1.88	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2
	3.36	3.82	1.96
	3.4	3.6	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.95)	3.81 ↓ (3.92)	1.91 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
27.8%

Draw
24.1%

Real Bedford
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

23.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

23.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Barwell - Real Bedford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barwell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Bedford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Barwell - Quorn	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Barwell - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTWL
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
13.01.26	Sudbury Town - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Real Bedford - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	Leiston - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Real Bedford - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Real Bedford - Barwell	2:2

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