Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Spalding United		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.6	2.72
	2.16	3.51	2.8
	2.23	3.55	2.92	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.17	3.42	2.87
	1.93	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.89 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
42.6%

Draw
26%

Real Bedford
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Spalding United - Real Bedford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Stevens B. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Setchell J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Roberts J. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (2 - 0)
92', 3 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
118', 4 - 2, Fowkes B. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Spalding has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Bedford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spalding will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
29.04.26	Spalding United - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Worcester City - Spalding United	4:4 ✺
18.04.26	Leiston - Spalding United	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Spalding United - Stratford Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLW
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
29.04.26	Real Bedford - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Real Bedford - Alvechurch	3:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Redditch United - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3
09.08.25	Real Bedford - Spalding United	2:1

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