Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Spalding United		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.35	7.7
	1.3	5.67	8.17	Watch
	1.25	5	8
	1.27	5.1	8.45
	1.26	6	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	5.42 ↑ (4.92)	7.96 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
71.8%

Draw
16.8%

Barwell
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.8%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Spalding United - Barwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spalding will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barwell will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spalding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Moore L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, McCammon J. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 16).

Spalding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barwell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spalding is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Spalding United - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Redditch United - Spalding United	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTWW
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
27.12.25	Barwell - Quorn	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Barwell - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.04.25	Barwell - Spalding United	1:7
07.12.24	Spalding United - Barwell	2:1

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