Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
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Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 4
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
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Israel	5 LIVE Israel
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Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
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Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
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Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Basel		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.65	3.5	2.65
	2.72	3.44	2.63
	1.51	3.66	7.66	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.66	3.54	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.45 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
42%

Draw
29%

Copenhagen
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.9%	44.6%	21.4%

Basel - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 17 - 32.7%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.5% – 61.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Copenhagen (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 12 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Copenhagen (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Copenhagen (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Basel (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 3 - 13%). Copenhagen (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 26. Barisic A. 32. Adjetey J. 31. Schmid D. 5. Metinho 22. Leroy L. 19. Soticek M. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 7. Otele P. 23. Ajeti Al.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 13. Huescas R. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Gabriel Pereira 15. Lopez M. 11. Larsson J. 12. Lerager L. (C) 36. Clem W. 16. Robert 10. Elyounoussi M. 14. Cornelius A.
Substitutes
43. Akahomen M. 14. Bacanin A. 17. Broschinski M. 29. Cisse M. 39. Junior Ze 28. Kacuri D. 46. Kaio Eduardo 8. Koindredi K. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 13. Salvi M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N.	61. Buur O. (G) 7. Claesson V. 4. Garananga M. 8. Mattsson M. 24. Meling B. 9. Moukoko Y. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 23. Sarapata D. 20. Suzuki J. 22. Zague Y.
Coaches
Magnin L.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Huescas R. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Shaqiri X. (Pen),
28', Tsunemoto K. 🟨,
43', Adjetey J. 🟨,
45+2', Leroy L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pereira ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Lerager L. 🟨,
62', Larsson J. 🟨,
64', Robert ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
68', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
70', Larsson J. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
77', Soticek M. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
82', Adjetey J. 🟨,
83', Clem W. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
84', Leroy L. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
90', Barisic A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Copenhagen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basel might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Basel: Ruegg K. (Ankle Injury) Traore B. (Injury) van Breemen F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Hamstring Injury) Delaney T. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Moalem J. (Hip Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Cup
16.08.25	Biel-Bienne - Basel	1:6 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.08.25	Lugano - Basel	3:1 ✺
06.08.25	Basel - Young Boys	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Basel - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
15.08.25	Nordsjælland - Copenhagen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Copenhagen - Malmö	5:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
08.08.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Malmö - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.08.25	Fredericia - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW

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