Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Palabiyik A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay


	Basel		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.44	4.5	6.75
	1.4	4.75	8
	1.43	4.6	6.6
	1.44	4.74	7.45
	1.39	4.65	7.4
	1.45	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.72 ↓ (4.73)	7.17 ↓ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
66.7%

Draw
20.1%

Žalgiris
13.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

18.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	4.8%	16.7%

Basel - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: Basel will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basel has currently - 7, has a good chance of 1st (67%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%), has a good chance of knockout phase (90%), has a good chance of round of 16 (76%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Žalgiris has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a small chance of 2nd (10%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a small chance of knockout phase (13%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, big importance 80, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Basel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žalgiris is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Žalgiris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basel is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Basel: Lopez S. (Injury) Tushi T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Žalgiris: Ljubisavljevic N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Basel: Calafiori R. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Basel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
23.10.22	Basel - Winterthur	3:1 ✺
20.10.22	Basel - Zürich	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Servette - Basel	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Slovan Bratislava - Basel	3:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.10.22	Lugano - Basel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.10.22	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
16.10.22	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1 ET ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Žalgiris - Pyunik	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.10.22	Jonava - Žalgiris	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Žalgiris - Basel	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺

Basel - Žalgiris