Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Tehelné pole (Bratislava)

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Slovan Bratislava		Basel

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.8
	2.45	3.3	2.75
	2.55	3.35	2.7
	2.47	3.3	2.85
	2.58	3.37	2.86
	2.47	3.48	2.74
	2.6	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.49)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	2.79 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Bratislava
37.6%

Draw
28.4%

Basel
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.1%	53.7%	12.2%

Slovan Bratislava - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 14 - 34.1%). Basel will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 53.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.4% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Slovan Bratislava has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (53%), a small chance of semis (9%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (47%), a small chance of semis (10%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, small importance 12, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Slovan Bratislava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Sulla M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Basel: Comas A. (Injury) Frei F. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Slovan Bratislava: Zmrhal J. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Slovan Bratislava won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Slovan Bratislava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
12.03.23	Slovan Bratislava - Žilina	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Basel - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
04.03.23	Slovan Bratislava - Spartak Trnava	4:1 ✺
Slovak Cup
01.03.23	Šamorín - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 penalties ✺
Slovak Superliga
25.02.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Slovan Bratislava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWT
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
12.03.23	Basel - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Basel - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
04.03.23	Luzern - Basel	0:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
01.03.23	St. Gallen - Basel	1:2 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
26.02.23	Lugano - Basel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Basel - Slovan Bratislava	2:2
13.10.22	Slovan Bratislava - Basel	3:3
06.10.22	Basel - Slovan Bratislava	0:2

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