Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.02	3.65	2.13
	3.02	3.65	2.12
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.95	3.46	2.11
	3	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.42)	3.49 ↓ (3.56)	2.1 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
30.6%

Draw
26%

Whitby Town
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Whitby Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Whitby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bradford Park Avenue - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 12).

Bradford PA has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Whitby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bradford PA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Worksop Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Hyde United	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Stafford Rangers - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
26.09.23	Ashton United - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Whitby Town
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Whitby Town - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Chelmsford City - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
26.09.23	Whitby Town - Marske United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWW

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