Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.55	2.68
	1.98	3.76	3.2
	2.34	3.82	2.58	Watch
	2.21	3.54	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
42.1%

Draw
25.1%

Berkhamsted
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Basingstoke Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Basingstoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Berkhamsted (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Sylla C. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Lacey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Reid G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 8).

Basingstoke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Berkhamsted is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basingstoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Farnham Town	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:4 ✺
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Berkhamsted - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Gloucester City - Berkhamsted	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.10.25	Berkhamsted - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWWT

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