Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.05
	2.95	3.55	2.08
	3.07	3.65	2.15
	3.02	3.5	2.09
	2.95	3.55	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.56)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.09 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
30.6%

Draw
25.8%

Totton
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Totton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Totton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hungerford Town - Totton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hungerford (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hungerford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Austin C. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Rendell S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, Lee T. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Totton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Sholing - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hanwell Town - Totton	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Totton - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Chertsey Town - Totton	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Wimborne Town - Totton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.08.24	Totton - Hungerford Town	3:1
13.04.24	Hungerford Town - Totton	1:0
04.11.23	Totton - Hungerford Town	1:2
English Southern Premier League
18.02.14	Totton - Hungerford Town	1:3
15.02.14	Hungerford Town - Totton	4:0

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