Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Totton		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.7	3.65	4.2
	1.7	3.93	4.63
	1.74	3.76	4.47	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.57
	1.7	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	4.28 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Totton
53.5%

Draw
25%

Dorchester Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Totton - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Pardoe L. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Roberts L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
74', Spetch W. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Rendell S. (Pen),
90+8', 2 - 2, Lee T. ⚽,
90+11', 3 - 2, Lee T. ⚽,
90+14', 3 - 3, Dickson J. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
119', 4 - 3, Austin C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Totton won 2.

Totton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Dorchester is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

In this match, Totton is a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Totton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11 (average 2.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams, Totton won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Frome Town - Totton	0:4 ✺
21.04.25	Totton - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Totton	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Totton - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Taunton Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	Frome Town - Dorchester Town	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Dorchester Town - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
14.09.24	Dorchester Town - Totton	3:2
27.04.24	Dorchester Town - Totton	0:4
28.02.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	4:4
English FA Trophy
10.11.18	Dorchester Town - Totton	3:1

Upcoming Matches