Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Bordeaux		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.58	3.98
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	1.96	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.19)	3.45 ↑ (3.36)	3.77 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
48%

Draw
27.1%

Caen
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bordeaux's performance.

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Bordeaux - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Caen will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Straczek R. (G) 34. Michelin C. 2. Gregersen S. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 19. Ekomie J. 8. Sissokho I. 6. Ignatenko D. 20. Diaz P. 30. Davitashvili Z. 77. Badji A. 11. Pitu A.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 91. Ntim E. 29. Thomas R. (C) 3. Bolumbu D. 6. Daubin Q. 61. Traore B. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Court Y. 2. Abdi A. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
4. Bokele M. 22. De Amorim M. 81. De Lima M. 17. Elis A. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 7. Livolant J. 10. Weissbeck G.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 92. Coeff A. 28. Diani D. 7. Gomis T. 22. Hafid M. 11. Le Bihan M. 18. Mbock H.
Coaches
Guion D.	Furlan J.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 3.

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Caen have a series of home games.

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Grenoble - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Guingamp - Bordeaux	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Valenciennes - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Bordeaux - Auxerre	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Bordeaux - Amiens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
26.09.23	Caen - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Laval - Caen	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Caen - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:0
10.01.23	Caen - Bordeaux	2:2
Club Friendly
18.07.21	Bordeaux - Caen	2:1
French Ligue 1
24.05.19	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1
11.11.18	Bordeaux - Caen	0:0
16.01.18	Bordeaux - Caen	0:2
25.11.17	Caen - Bordeaux	1:0

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