Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Bastia		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3	2.45
	2.95	3	2.5
	3.11	3.08	2.56
	3.06	3.05	2.53	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.04	3.02	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bastia
31.2%

Draw
31%

Paris FC
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bastia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Bastia - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 17. Ariss Z. 5. Maggiotti J. 13. Ducrocq T. 42. Tavares D. 7. Vincent C. 10. Boutrah A. 11. Cisse L.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 2. Ollila T. 21. Lopez M. 6. Soumahoro A. 17. Camara A. 11. Krasso J. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I.
Substitutes
14. Etoga L. 23. Fabri J. (G) 19. Loubatieres M. 25. Rodrigues C. 4. Roncaglia A. 9. Tomi F. 27. Tramoni L.	12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 27. Gaudin J. 29. Hamel P. 20. Lopez J. 4. Marchetti V. 1. Riou R. (G)
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Camara A. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Boutrah A. ⚽,
28', Krasso J. 🟨,
33', Vincent C. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Cisse L. ⚽,
45+3', Tavares D. 🟥,
45+4', Lopez M. 🟨,
45+4', Maggiotti J. 🟨,
45+7', Marchetti V. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maggiotti J. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
53', Guevara J. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
58', Cisse L. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
62', Krasso J. 🟨,
66', Camara A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
76', Tourraine M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
76', Ollila T. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
77', Lopez J. 🟨,
83', Gory A. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
83', Soumahoro A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
88', Boutrah A. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
89', Ducrocq T. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
90+2', Tramoni L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Paris FC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
13.09.24	Bastia - Troyes	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	Metz - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Angers - Bastia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWTW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Clermont - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Clermont - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.05.24	Bastia - Paris FC	1:1
11.11.23	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0
18.03.23	Paris FC - Bastia	0:1
05.11.22	Bastia - Paris FC	0:1
22.04.22	Bastia - Paris FC	2:1
03.12.21	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0

Upcoming Matches