Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 1

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Russia	Okko Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Metz		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.1	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.23	3.7
	2.15	3.23	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.12	3.3	3.63	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.86)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	3.55 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
44.5%

Draw
29%

Bastia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Metz - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Oukidja A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 8. Traore I. (C) 38. Sane S. 5. Cande F. 14. Sabaly C. 6. Nduquidi J. 7. Hein G. 36. Jallow A. 20. Deminguet J. 9. Sane I.	30. Placide J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. 18. Tomi F. 28. Akueson G. 15. Bohnert F. 7. Vincent C. 13. Ducrocq T. 9. Bianchini F. 14. Etoga L. 10. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
25. Atta A. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 15. Lo A. 26. Mbaye M. 61. Sy P. (G) 12. Toure A.	17. Ariss Z. 23. Fabri J. (G) 3. Guevara J. 66. Janneh J. 5. Maggiotti J. 25. Rodrigues C. 27. Tramoni L.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Boutrah A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Meynadier T. ↓, Ariss Z. ↑,
60', Nduquidi J. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
61', Etoga L. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
61', Bianchini F. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
70', Bohnert F. 🟨,
72', Vincent C. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
72', Tomi F. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
73', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
82', Sabaly C. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
82', Cande F. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
85', Tramoni L. 🟨,
90+5', Colin M. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Jallow A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 2.

Bastia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Metz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Metz	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Metz - Villefranche	3:0 ✺
12.07.24	Metz - Jeunesse Esch	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.06.24	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ET ✺
30.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- SC Bastia
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Angers - Bastia	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
17.05.24	Bastia - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Pau - Bastia	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Annecy - Bastia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.06.23	Metz - Bastia	3:2
17.09.22	Bastia - Metz	1:0
French Ligue 1
17.03.17	Metz - Bastia	1:0
10.12.16	Bastia - Metz	2:0
07.02.15	Bastia - Metz	2:0
20.09.14	Metz - Bastia	3:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
25.09.12	Bastia - Metz	3:0

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