The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bastia 42.4%
Draw 29.8%
Sochaux 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
30.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
30.3%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
58.8%
11.8%
Bastia - Sochaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Sochaux will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% โ 82.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3).
Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (22.41%), project points - 59, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (29.31%), project points - 67, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of promoted (42%), a small chance of win league (10%).
This event has quality39, importance50, match rating45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 0.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
France
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