Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Valenciennes		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.65
	2.9	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.94	2.87	2.78
	3.03	2.8	2.89
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.85	3	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.47)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
32.9%

Draw
32.4%

Bastia
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Valenciennes - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Diabate L. (G) 24. Linguet A. 5. Poha J. 14. Cuffaut J. (C) 3. Basse S. 93. Knockaert A. 59. Foe Ondoa M. 6. Masson J. 96. Flamarion 18. Jung A. 34. Lilepo M.	30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 95. Keita C. 99. Okou Y. 22. Traore C. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 17. Bianchini F. 7. Vincent C. (C) 9. Santelli B. 10. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
17. Boutoutaou A. 20. Hamache I. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 23. Kruse D. 16. Louchet J. (G) 90. Oyewusi M. 15. Woudenberg L.	23. Fabri J. (G) 3. Gueho L. 19. Loubatieres M. 4. Roncaglia A. 26. Siby M. 18. Tomi F. 27. Yapi R.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Brouard R.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valenciennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Bordeaux - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Valenciennes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Valenciennes - Amiens	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Sarreguemines - Valenciennes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Bastia - Caen	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Bastia - Angers	2:0 ✺
19.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Bastia - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Dunkerque - Bastia	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.08.23	Bastia - Valenciennes	3:0
11.03.23	Valenciennes - Bastia	2:2
30.12.22	Bastia - Valenciennes	1:0
05.03.22	Bastia - Valenciennes	1:1
21.09.21	Valenciennes - Bastia	2:1
French Ligue 1
11.01.14	Valenciennes - Bastia	3:2
17.08.13	Bastia - Valenciennes	2:0

Valenciennes - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide