Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Sochaux		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.38	3.15	2.95
	2.35	3.1	2.9
	2.52	3.08	3.2
	2.4	3	3
	2.42	3.3	2.94	Watch
	2.4	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.34)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
38.9%

Draw
29.8%

Bordeaux
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Sochaux - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (29.78%), has project points - 66, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 2 (25.95%), has project points - 66, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 44, very big importance 100, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
06.03.23	Caen - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Sochaux - Annecy	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	Quevilly - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Rodez - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	Amiens - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Bordeaux - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Niort - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Pau - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:1
French Ligue 1
01.03.14	Sochaux - Bordeaux	2:0
06.10.13	Bordeaux - Sochaux	4:1
21.04.13	Sochaux - Bordeaux	2:2
01.12.12	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:2
29.04.12	Sochaux - Bordeaux	N/A

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