Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Paris FC		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.4
	2.08	3.25	3.5
	2.09	3.31	3.88
	2	3.35	3.76	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.33
	2.04	3.44	3.91	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.36 ↓ (3.67)	3.86 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
47.5%

Draw
28.1%

Bastia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Paris FC - Bastia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paris FC (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris FC will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Bastia (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 17. Camara A. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 7. Gory A. 29. Hamel P. 13. Cafaro M. 12. Dicko N.	30. Placide J. (G) 17. Ariss Z. 28. Akueson G. 6. Guidi D. 15. Bohnert F. 66. Janneh J. 13. Ducrocq T. 11. Cisse L. 7. Vincent C. 10. Boutrah A. 22. Sebas J.
Substitutes
31. Chergui S. 8. Doucet L. 20. Lopez J. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 18. Sissoko O. 39. Tourraine M.	33. Ble M. 2. Inao Oulai C. 5. Maggiotti J. 16. Maisonnial A. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. 9. Tomi F.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Hamel P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Cafaro M. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
58', Janneh J. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
60', Lopez M. 🟨,
60', Vincent C. 🟨,
61', Gory A. 🟨,
68', Boutrah A. 🟨,
74', Hamel P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
75', Dicko N. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
75', Marchetti V. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
76', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
77', Vincent C. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
83', Placide J. 🟨,
88', Akueson G. 🟥,
90+3', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
90+3', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
90+3', Sissoko O. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
90+6', Guidi D. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Krasso J. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z. (Injury) Etoga L. (Inactive) Guevara J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
12.04.25	Grenoble - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Paris FC - Clermont	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
15.03.25	Laval - Paris FC	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Paris FC - Lorient	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
14.04.25	Bastia - Laval	5:2 ✺
04.04.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bastia - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lorient - Bastia	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Bastia - Martigues	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Bastia - Paris FC	2:1
17.05.24	Bastia - Paris FC	1:1
11.11.23	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0
18.03.23	Paris FC - Bastia	0:1
05.11.22	Bastia - Paris FC	0:1
22.04.22	Bastia - Paris FC	2:1
03.12.21	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0

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