Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Bastia		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.5	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.4	3.05	2.2	Watch
	3.05	2.95	2.38
	3.14	3.06	2.58
	3.1	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.28	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
30.3%

Draw
30.5%

Toulouse
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

18.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bastia - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Bastia has the most likely position - 17 (12.62%), has project points - 42, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (55.75%), has project points - 74, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (82%), has a good chance of win league (56%).

Bastia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bastia won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
15.01.22	Nancy - Bastia	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Bastia - Quevilly	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Bastia - Clermont	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.12.21	Rodez - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Hauts Lyonnais - Bastia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTW
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
19.01.22	Toulouse - Nancy	4:0 ✺
15.01.22	Toulouse - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Cannes - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.12.21	Nîmes - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Toulouse - Nîmes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.08.21	Toulouse - Bastia	1:0
French Ligue 1
11.02.17	Toulouse - Bastia	4:1
10.09.16	Bastia - Toulouse	2:1
09.04.16	Toulouse - Bastia	4:0
26.09.15	Bastia - Toulouse	3:0
17.01.15	Toulouse - Bastia	1:1
23.08.14	Bastia - Toulouse	1:0

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