Match Info

Date: 19 January 2022, Wednesday


	Toulouse		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7	Watch
	1.43	4.2	7.75
	1.37	4.6	8	Watch
	1.39	4.4	6.8
	1.42	4.66	8.38
	1.36	4.33	8.5
	1.4	4.85	7.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	4.48 ↑ (4.01)	7.73 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
67.1%

Draw
20.8%

Nancy
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

13.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.9%	9%	9%

Toulouse - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (118 of 144 users predict this - 81.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.66% – 88.22%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (58.97%), has project points - 74, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a good chance of win league (59%).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (53.34%), has project points - 32, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nancy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Toulouse is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
15.01.22	Toulouse - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Cannes - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.12.21	Nîmes - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Toulouse - Nîmes	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.21	Toulouse - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWT
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
15.01.22	Nancy - Bastia	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Nancy - Rennes	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
21.12.21	Nancy - Dijon	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Troyes - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.12.21	Nîmes - Nancy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.07.21	Nancy - Toulouse	0:4
03.04.21	Toulouse - Nancy	4:1
01.12.20	Nancy - Toulouse	1:3
French Ligue 1
25.02.17	Nancy - Toulouse	0:0
17.12.16	Toulouse - Nancy	1:1
19.01.13	Toulouse - Nancy	2:1
25.08.12	Nancy - Toulouse	0:1

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