Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 32

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.44	4.09	5.7
	1.52	4.18	6.27
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.48	4.2	6.07
	1.48	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)	4.16 ↑ (4)	5.88 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
62.4%

Draw
22%

Dover Athletic
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

21.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braintree Town's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Braintree Town - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 1.

Recent matches Braintree is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dover is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braintree is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
27.01.24	Truro City - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
23.01.24	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
01.01.24	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
27.01.24	Dover Athletic - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Taunton Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Dover Athletic - Truro City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.08.23	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	1:1
01.04.23	Braintree Town - Dover Athletic	1:3
08.10.22	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	3:1
English National League
02.03.19	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	3:0
27.10.18	Braintree Town - Dover Athletic	2:1
08.04.17	Braintree Town - Dover Athletic	1:2
22.10.16	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	6:1

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