Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2	3.3	3.15
	2.13	3.4	3
	2.08	3.42	3.44
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.05	3.46	3.35
	2.1	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.4)	3.33 ↓ (3.33)	3.16 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
43.6%

Draw
27.5%

Dulwich Hamlet
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bath City's performance.

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dulwich Hamlet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Bath City - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Dulwich will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bath: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 2.

Recent matches Bath is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dulwich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bath won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
11.03.23	Worthing - Bath City	2:3 ✺
07.03.23	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Slough Town - Bath City	0:3 ✺
25.02.23	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWL
- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
11.03.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	5:1 ✺
04.03.23	Dulwich Hamlet - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Worthing - Dulwich Hamlet	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.02.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	1:2
02.04.22	Bath City - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0
13.11.21	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	3:0
24.11.20	Bath City - Dulwich Hamlet	1:4
22.02.20	Bath City - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2
02.11.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	1:3
05.01.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	0:2

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