Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 34

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday


	Worthing		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.45
	2.32	3.4	2.6
	2.23	3.65	2.73
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	2.26	3.78	2.72
	2.38	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.75)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.88 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
41.8%

Draw
26%

Dulwich Hamlet
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worthing's form might have worsened.

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dulwich Hamlet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worthing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Worthing - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Dulwich will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Worthing: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Worthing is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dulwich has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worthing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worthing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
18.02.23	Oxford City - Worthing	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Worthing - St Albans City	4:5 ✺
04.02.23	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Worthing - Dartford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
18.02.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Braintree Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Taunton Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Weymouth - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Worthing	0:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.03.18	Dulwich Hamlet - Worthing	3:0
30.09.17	Worthing - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2
04.03.17	Worthing - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1
19.11.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Worthing	4:1

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